21 11 5 Rank in State, Class, District |
1162 26 Strength Momentum |
1257 44.0(46) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/21/15 | Hatch | 0.002 | 987 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-3) | 1015 | 72% | |
08/21/15 | at Taos | 0.001 | 1288 | L 3- 8 | Expected (-4) | 982 | 32% | |
08/22/15 | at Silver ! | 0.000 | 799 | W 9- 0 | Expected (+6) | 1454 | 84% | |
08/24/15 | Santa Fe Prep | 0.003 | 985 | W 3- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1114 | 73% | |
08/26/15 | at St. Michael's ?? | 0.004 | 870 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-4) | 976 | 80% | |
09/03/15 | at Moriarty ? | 0.016 | 904 | L 2- 4 | Worse (-4) | 942 | 77% | |
09/05/15 | Artesia | 0.007 | 592 | W 8- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1224 | 96% | |
09/12/15 | Miyamura | 0.009 | 708 | W 9- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1389 | 92% | |
09/15/15 | Capital | 0.080 | 1241 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1091 | 41% | |
09/24/15 | Rio Rancho | 0.026 | 1418 | L 0- 9 | Expected (-7) | 816 | 24% | |
09/26/15 | at Cleveland | 0.243 | 1414 | L 0- 3 | Expected (0) | 1147 | 21% | |
09/30/15 | Los Alamos | 0.304 | 1257 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-2) | 1049 | 39% | |
10/03/15 | Volcano Vista | 0.435 | 1371 | L 0- 2 | Expected (0) | 1156 | 28% | |
10/07/15 | at Cibola | 0.365 | 1414 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-2) | 1045 | 21% | |
10/10/15 | at Rio Rancho | 0.613 | 1418 | L 1- 4 | Expected (0) | 1149 | 20% | |
10/14/15 | Cleveland | 0.413 | 1414 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-3) | 1026 | 24% | |
10/17/15 | Bernalillo !! | 0.298 | 898 | W 10- 3 | Expected (+4) | 1377 | 80% | |
10/21/15 | at Volcano Vista | 0.823 | 1371 | L 1- 4 | Expected (-1) | 1125 | 24% | |
10/23/15 | Cibola | 0.954 | 1414 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1228 | 24% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Santa Fe actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1257, while
Santa Fe's "weighted playing strength" is 1147
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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